Thein Sein Cozah le Tulio Kawlram Politik Thlihran Zohfiannak

Thein Sein Cozah le Tulio Kawlram Politik Thlihran Zohfiannak (Analysis on Thein Sein's Government and Current Political Development)

Salai Van Lian Thang

Thein Sein hruaimi USDP Cozah cu ni (144) an tling cang. Nicaan cu a tawi deuh nain thlen duhnak thinlung taktak put ahcun thlen manh ding a si ko, thlen duh hrimhrim lo bia, tiah kan lung a dong hnikhnik cang. Ripawt phunphun chuah in belnang thuh kan i zuam. Bongpi phoih in hni an hung i fenhmi nih mi lung a la lo cia hrim kha le a si fawn. Nai hrongin ruah lo piin phundang nawn in thli a hung hrang. Mipi thinlung phuk tiah a cawlter ngai. Zeidah a kan panhpi te hnga? Thein Sein Cozah kai hnu thilcang tete lengah tulio politik thlihran zohfiannak (analysis) ka hmuhning ka hun tial.

I. Cozah Ser hnu Thilcang:

1. Tuahserhnak:

Tar pensen thlahlawh an kaiter mi ti lo cun an tuahmi chim awk set a um huaha rih lo. Media zalawnnak tlawmpal an onh nain phihmi a um len rih. Sifah dohnak rianhma an tukmi a tha dom nain a dotdot in tlamhtlinh a hauh caah an i harh ngai lai. Tilian a tuarmi harnak an phisin ning zong lungkhan in a caak lo. Meeting, seminar, workshop ti bantuk lengah khualtlawn luklak in caan tampi an la. Ramdang mikhual zong chonh cok lo an ngei. Pyidawngsu Vunci pawl cu mikhual ton ah an i manh lo taktak.

Palimen chung i renghnak in zeimaw tiah hnabei a rak sei. MP pawl nih zalong in bia kan chim kho an ti nain USDP duh ningin bia a tlu ngot ko, Vunci zong Bochoh hlun longte an kai, upadi a hrangmi an hloh an remhmi a um rih lo. SPDC cungah kan i lawm timi biatung an luhpi i an pawm. Demucraci timi biathlum sio rawl tarhmi an ei sual cang ko hih tiah thimnak lutmi puhnak a dik ti a fawi te. Tuni in Palimen an thu than cang. Party pawl an i timhlamhnak a tha. Biatung phunphun dirh an i tim. Thimnak nuar cang cun USDP lungtlinpi locun Palimen chung cun zeipoah har cu a har ngai rih lai. Nain mipi hnabeiseinak a thi rih lo.

Cozah thar a kai hnuah mipi nih kan bawh bikcem cu thongtla chuah dih (general amnesty) hi a rak si. Ram thlennak phunphai a um pohah tuahtonmi cu a si. Newin zong nih a tuah ve ko. Nain thongtlak kum long kumkhat in a tthumh. Zumhnak ruang thongtla 2200 hlei chungah 34 long a chuah. Minthang deuh pakhat hmanh a chuah duh lo. Pi Suu nih 'amnesty' a si lo, 'mercy' deuh a si, tiah a soi, a fuh ngai kan ti cio.

Bo thlongh le pistor chiah hnu cun an lungthin tal lachon bantuk a si lo hmanh ah tlawmpal a neem deuh hmanh maw tiah beisei a si, nemmam cu Cozah an ser thaizing in ral a thomi ramah an kan luhpi colh ko. Tlangcung hriamtlai cu a kakip loin miakpi miakte hmangin rulhrang zuan in an zuan hnawh colh hna ruangah KIO long nih 200 hlei a tomtom in an thah manh hna. Shan, Mon, Karen thahmi he cun 500 hlei an tling kho men. Thi a lin lawlaw, i tu lawlaw sih, tiah an thi a dai kho ti lo. Tlangpar in thisen luti bang a luang, ralram khuasa chu khuaibuu meikhangh hrulh bantuk in ngaktah bang kakip ah an riang vai. Zaang an fak ngai.

2. Biachimnak:

Bia thlumthlum an chimmi le bia khakha an chimmi tiah ai cawh. Biathlum an chimmi cu hnakaw a luh a fawh deuh nain biakha an chimmi cu khuaiseh bang mi a henh duh ngai ve.

1. Home Minister hlun, USDP Party lutlai Mawng Oo nih 'ram uknak nawl hi Parlimen ah hluaimi a si lo, USDP kutah a kan hluaimi a si, chan tampi kan uk rih lai' tiah a chimmi hi a ram a kau ngaingai. Hipa hi USDP Party Dispalinary leiah Chairman a si fawn caah a bia hi lamkam bia sawh a si lo, an thinlung chungril bia a si. Hinak huattlai bia cu Chinmi a kan thlamlangh ning hi philh a fawi lai lo. Chin mi nih Vunci tlin dingah heh Chin MP kha tar an i zuam, nain a tam deuh cu cathiam lo (illiterate) longte an si caah Vunci an tuan kho lo, tiah a kan ti. Tlangmi ah hi tin ngai an nehsawh mi an um rua lo. UNDP ripawt sifakbikcem cazin luh na lakah zeite an kan rel lo ning zohah an bia hi philhpiak a har ngai men te lai!

2. NLD nih sipuazi dantatnak (Sanction) cu zaraan mipi fahnak a pe lo 'a herh rih ko' tiah cathanh an chuahmi nih an thin a phawh hringhran. NLD cu tuanbia chia in an dih te lai (tradegic end) tiah tadinca in an hro. Tampi an lau manh. Kan hnu nai ah Pi Suu Kyi nih US Congress hmaiah Commission of Inquiry cu ka thohkhan a ti tlawmpal ah Home Ministry nih phung lo party nan si caah i 'ralring uh' tiah ca an pek fawn. NLD le USDP idohnak politics ah Kawlram mipi cu kum zeizatdik kan tang rih te lai.

3. Thein Sein President cohlannak (Inaugural speech) tu cu biathlum a um pah. Cozah nih kum 5 chung an i hmaithlak ding pawlisi a chim. Cozah tha le Cozah thianghlim ser, eihmuarnak (corruption) doh, ruahnak thar le kalphung thar in kal, cunglei in tlaihkhihnak zorter (decentralization), phunghram remh duh cun phunghram remh kong hna, a mah lila nih a hun chim thok. Ramleng dohtu zong rammi long te nan si, nan Cozah hmu in kan hmu uh law ka duh, a ti. Hi lengah buainak tampi a tlung i, sifahnak le retheihnak a fah zong ai pheh hrim lo lengah Cozah nih Palimen le Phunghram nawl kan ngai lai, a ti rih. Thongzamh zalawnnak le a biapitnak hna a tar. Tampi a um. Liamcia kumkul chung an kheh duh bal lomi biafang tampi a kaa in a chaak thluahmah. Than Swe nih a tialpiak chommi cu a si lai lo. NLD tiang nih 'welcome' cathanh an chuahphah. Zapi nih kan don. Nain bia cu a tak in lang seh, kan ti cio! 

II. Chunglei Buainak:

1. Tatmadaw Vs USDP Cozah

1. 2008 phunghram ningah Tatmadaw cu a dang te hrimin chiah an si. Ram pakhat ah ram pakhat 'State within state' an ser ter. Cu nih tutan buainak a tlunter in a lang. Thein Sein Cozah nih biaruahnak 'political means' in remdaihnak kalpi an duh lioah Bochohci Myint Aung Hlaing hruaimi Tatmadaw nih meithal thazang 'military solution' in kalpi an duh, ti a si. Tlangcung hriamtlai pawl kah ding awder hi Cozah in a chuakmi a si lo, War Office in awder pekmi a si dih, tiah an chim. Cu lengah Pine Vunci pawl nih Pine Vunchohchoh bia maw kan zulh lai, Pyidawngsuh Vunci bia in dam kan um lai, an i fiang huaha lo lengah ramthen uktu Vuncichoh le Tainhmu Bochoh karah hodah nawl a ngei deuh timi buainak zong a fak tuk, ti a si. Tanglei zungthubawi pawl cu khoika indah awder kan hngah deuh lai tiah vafa ka ann in an aan ko, ti a si. Ethnic Affairs Ministers pawl zong zei tuah awk set nawl khinh loin an vai ko, tiah an chim. Chin Affairs Minister pakhat cu a mah phaisa in khual a tlawng, Cozah bomhnak zong a um huaha lo, President sinah nawlnak ca a tial len nain a let lo, ti a si.

2. Thlali voikhat tuah tonmi ralbawi meeting ah mipi sifahnak kong le ralkap family harsatnak kong an hun ceihin bia tak tein an buaithok, ti a si. Yangon ramthen uktu Bohmuchoh Than Htun cu dinhter a si, tlawmpal zarhnih ah Bochoh Tin Ngwe dinhter rih a si. Myint Aung Hlaing nih ralkap a ukmi tangah Defence Vunci tuan ding cu ka nak hngakchia a si tiah a cohlan kho lo ruangah Lt. Gen Thurah Myint Aung cu a rian in chuah a rak si cang. Tulio ah Bochoh Myint Soe, Bochoh Kyaw Pyo, Bochoh Khin Zaw Oo, Bohmuchoh Thein Thun Oo le Khin Mawng Htay cu biahal cuahmah an si rih. Chungril in an i dok, ralkap chung a den ngaingai. Hihi eihmurnak (corruption) ruang a si, an ti lioah cheukhat nihcun ralkap chung sifah harsatnak le thlennak fakpi in an aupi ruangah hitin an tuah hna hi a si, tiah an chim. Bohmu Aung Lin Htut nihcun eihmuarnak ti ahcun a tlingmi hohmanh an um lo, thlennak an duh ruangah a si, 2007 phungki sandahpiah lio hrimin chunglei i khahlonak a fak cang, tutan cu a zual ngai, tiah a chim ve. Thein Sein nih eihmurnak doh a timi he pehtlaihnak a ngei hnga maw tiah a ruatmi zong um a si.

2. Thein Sein Vs Tin Aung Myint Oo

1. Uico le meheh bang ai hua pengmi President Thein Sein le Vice President Tin Aung Myint Oo nawlngeihnak an i cuhmi ko zohchia in riim a hung nam. Thein Sein cu a lu a lin ko tiah an chim. Mual an pho deng lengmang hnik caah an i tthing kho lo cun ralkap an karlak an lut sual lai i, arhma cukchih kan chuak hoi sual lai ti a phangmi tiang an hung um. Thein Sein nih thilkuat man 5% tthumhnak awder a chuah, Tin Aung Myint Oo nih 7% ah a kaiter than, Thein Sein theih loin ministry pawl budget 40% in 20% ah a tthumh rih, ti a si. Bia tak tein nawlngeihnak an i cuh.

2. Phu hnih in an um hoi. Thein Sein leiah Aung Kyi, Swe Mann te pawl hi a lungneem deuhmi 'reformers' phu, Tin Aung Myint Oo lei ah Kyaw San le Khin Aung Myint, Aung Thawng te pawl mi lunghaak 'hardliners' phu, tiah phuhnih in an kuai, ti a si. Russia ram ah Swe Mann te an khualtlawnnak kong cu Kyaw San nih tadinca ah a cikpiak dih lengah Hluttaw MP pawl sin tonbiaruahnak ah a biachim 'no one is a above the law' timi biafang hna cu a hnawhpiah dih, tiah an chim. Hi tin a caan hi pakhat le khat i do hna seh law, ho set nawlngeibik cem in lawr kho hlah seh, a lai ah dirin nawlngeibik si peng ning timi Than Swe thluak longte a si ko lai, tiah cheukhat nih an ruah.

3. Than Swe le Mawng Aye?

1. Thein Sein Cozah cu Than Swe nih hnulei in chukcho chaak a merh rih lai ti hi zapi ruahnak a si. USDP General Secretary Htay Oo nih 'Than Swe cu ai din taktak cang, nain sir ah kan hlaw lo, Party patron zong a si ti lo' tiah a chim. Than Swe zong nih hlan Bochohci hlun pali cu a inn ah meeting a thutpi hna i' kai thlak ti lo, Thein Sein zong a mah tein a duhmi Vunci ka thim ter, hmailei ka chungkhar kongah ka lungre thei ngai' tiah a chim, ti a si. Cheukhat nih cun duhsah duhsah in a ziam cuahmah cang ko rua, tiah ruah a si. Cheukhat nih a dam lo ngaingai cang, tiah an chim. Nain Bohmu Aung Lin Htut nih 'tulio Kawlram ralbawizik pathum: Myint Aung Hlaing, Soe Win le Hlah Htay Win nih nikhatni in ningani tiang zingchiar Than Swe sin ripawt an pek, a mah bia in rian an tuan rih, Thein Sein Cozah cu Than Swe nawlpeknak in a kal rih', tiah a chim. Bochohhmuci sinak zong a phoih rih lo, Than Swe hi tat-choh-ci (arm forces chief) tiah an auh, Myint Aung Hlaing hi kah-choh-ci (Defence chief) tiah an auh, ti a si. Mawng Aye tu cu kan hnu titoih puai ah chikkhat a chuak, hlan lio bawi nganpi don in an don thiam rih, tuhi cu a chuahnak Kanbulu khua ah phungki a lut, tiah an chim. Hi hna pahnih hi mipi nih fawi le bai in philh kho dingin an lang lo.

III: Tulio Politik Dirhmun:

1. US Pawlici le Palai Thar:

President Bush chan lio tein dantatnak Jade Act 2008 timi upadii cu an rak ser. Hi upadi ningin Special Representative le Policy coordinator khanh ding a si. Ambassador tluk in a rengh a sang. Nain an khanh taktak bal lo. Kum 2 hlei a hung liam. Nornak a fah caah Derek Mitchell cu Obama nih a hun thim. Senate Foreign Committee zong nih a pawmpi cang. Asia kongah thiamhleisang a si. Pi Suu Kyi nih mithiam a si, kan bei a sei, tiah a don. Mitchell le Pi Suu hi 1995 ah an i tong bal. Mitchel khanh hlan cu Kurt M. Campbell, Joseph Yun nih US Kawlram pawlici an kalpi. John McCain zong a va tlawng. McCain nih cun Arab bantuk buainak a chuak te kho men, a ti. Campbell le Yun nih cun, an haak ngai, kan thangcho kho lo, an ti. US nih Commission of Inquiry bia tak nawn in kalpi a hun i timh lengah Clinton nih Asean chair Kawlram tlaih ding a biaki tein a cohlan khawhlonak a langhter mi nih Kawl Cozah a khenh ngai. Naiah US Kawlram Embassy lutlai pahnih nih ralzam an sawk tikah Kawl Cozah cu a mual pho cikcek. Hihi Aung Lin Htut he cun pathumnak a si. Mitchel hi policy coordinator a si bantuk in China, India le Asian ram pawl lungkhat in Kawlram kongah a pumh (coordinate) kho hna ahcun hma a kal ko lai. US nih fulltime in Kawlram kong commitment a pek cang lai caah thil tha tampi a um lai. Foreign Committee Chairman Jonh F. Kerry nih kan 'bei na sei ko' tiah bia a cah. Mitchell zong nih bia tak tein kai zuam lai, tiah ai kam. Zeitik Kawlram a tlawn lai a fiang lo. Daw Suu le Cozah ichonhnak a that phot cun that, a chiat poah cun chiat, hi US pawlici cu a si ko. Zeidik an lawh te hnga!

2. Kan lung ai hmu:

Vunci U Aung Kyi nih Pi Suu Kyi voihnih a ton. Rang ngaiin a hung cang mi nih khuaruah a tamter. Hlan ah voi riat an i tong cang, zei an chuahpi lo, ichonh hnuah cathanh an chuah ti ti zong a rak um bal lo lengah thongzamhtu an tonta ti zong a rak um bal lo. Tadinca zong an cuang bal lo. Tutan cu phun dang deuh in thil a cang. Cathanh zong an chuah, thonghzamh phu zong an ton, kan lung ai hmu ngai an ti rih. Aung Kyi zong a pu le sin bia phortu men long si ti loin nawl a ngei ngaimi rumra a keng, ti a si. Pi Suu nih Peku a tlawnnak ah 'kan chimh te hna lai, chim a cu rih lo, a timi ah hnakhaw tun cio a si rih, a kan chimh te ko lai.

3 Visa an cumh than:

Kumkhat hlei Kawlram luh an an phih cangmi UN Human Right Rapporteur Quintana cu ramchung luhnak Visa an cumh piak than. Tulio te hi Kawlram a um liopi a si. Hi pa hi UN palai dang he ai lo lo. Hlang ko hlang ko in ralkap a soisel ngamm. Ralkap puantang thil thup vialte hlai a herh ko tiah Commission of Inquiry dirh a herh kong Human Right Council ah biatung a dirh mi pa a si, ram 16 nih an dirhkam, Kawl Cozah nih a huat tuk hringhran. Cucaah Kawlram luhter an duh ti lo. Tutan ah tonbiaruah ding rak ra ko an ti thanmi hi khuaruah har pakhat cu a si. Hmasa Kawlram a luh ah Pi Suu Kyi tonter an duh lo. Tutan cu Pi Suu Kyi he zong tonnak caan rem an pek. Human Right Council ah NLD an phiattingmi zual ko kong ceihpi dingah NLD cu an linsa ngai. Tlangmi MP zong a ton hna lai. Quintana nih zeitin ripawt a tial timi nih bia tampi a chim hoi te lai.

4. Daihnak ser uh sih:

Ralkap Cozah nih hriamtlai buupi (17) lengah buute (23) zongzai daihnak kan ser pi cang, zei 'thumkomh biaruah' cu dah a herh ti, tiah dohtu hna bia vawlei tla lo lak in a thah ton. Dohthlenhnak tuahtu an aw fakbik in a khamnak phaw bantuk ah a hman. Buu tetuai deuh cu rulpi utlak lemh in an lemh hna i an dih an ek viar ko. Asinain buu ngan deuh cu politics an ceihpi duh hna lo caah chunglei in an i erh an i erh. Fahnak tete chunglei in ai uammi a hung kek phut i biatak tein an i zuan hnawh than. Khuaza an thang. Tam tuk an i that. Riimm ve dawh an si. Pi Suu Kyi tiang nih tlang kan tlak hna lai tiah a hun i rolh. Kawl Cozah nih daihnak sawmnak cathanh an chuah ti hi tuanbia ah hmuh a har ngai. Tutan cu rampi Cozah aiawh in sawmnak tadinca bak in an chuah. Ramkulh le ramthen cio in hun chon hmasa uh cio law, daihnak ceihpitu phu kan dirh lai i, rampi cozah he kan i chon lai, an ti. KIO nih pikpak in chonh kan duh lo, tiah an lehcolh. K

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